Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.357856 4.820674 5.314499 5.881116 6.513913 7.199571 7.999720
2026-01-11 3.581469 4.217637 4.943606 5.835535 6.904860 8.149349 9.712844
2026-01-18 3.019436 3.742504 4.614496 5.748444 7.191266 8.975250 11.362836
2026-01-25 2.601152 3.365437 4.331009 5.648717 7.413004 9.711599 12.962381
2026-02-01 2.280429 3.061246 4.088040 5.549249 7.594828 10.385580 14.530707
2026-02-08 2.025497 2.808329 3.874711 5.449605 7.743636 11.005401 16.069621
2026-02-15 1.836048 2.620985 3.724892 5.411195 7.958432 11.720711 17.807072
2026-02-22 1.721593 2.525723 3.691051 5.528918 8.402669 12.804418 20.212410
2026-03-01 1.585265 2.383234 3.571118 5.499170 8.609628 13.534131 22.127168
2026-03-08 1.436565 2.207412 3.382903 5.340873 8.590180 13.891523 23.453189
2026-03-15 1.331882 2.089969 3.273112 5.293744 8.740310 14.530689 25.318383
2026-03-22 1.274163 2.041538 3.267143 5.413307 9.176223 15.687658 28.223872
2026-03-29 1.214571 1.986867 3.249052 5.515322 9.600390 16.883373 31.380613
2026-04-05 1.144661 1.909324 3.186370 5.534174 9.878742 17.847487 34.224242
2026-04-12 1.068816 1.815424 3.087739 5.479190 10.015019 18.560529 36.662369
2026-04-19 0.995933 1.720796 2.979836 5.396519 10.089039 19.158975 38.938147
2026-04-26 0.928984 1.631432 2.873911 5.307133 10.139330 19.712301 41.183583
2026-05-03 0.867733 1.547685 2.771435 5.214510 10.172452 20.230980 43.414563
2026-05-10 0.819629 1.484478 2.701800 5.178922 10.315611 20.987706 46.268250
2026-05-17 0.794490 1.462230 2.707081 5.291635 10.774522 22.456557 50.947353
2026-05-24 0.753870 1.407483 2.645786 5.263480 10.931552 23.285941 54.222785
2026-05-31 0.702197 1.327766 2.530020 5.112615 10.807913 23.477218 55.965476
2026-06-07 0.666402 1.276754 2.467289 5.067708 10.912659 24.194797 59.114447